Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.183618 0.199801 0.216977 0.236603 0.258453 0.282082 0.309640
2026-02-01 0.152368 0.174725 0.200039 0.230985 0.268017 0.311186 0.365720
2026-02-08 0.132197 0.157259 0.186960 0.225087 0.273212 0.332585 0.412393
2026-02-15 0.118399 0.144932 0.177525 0.221029 0.278373 0.352520 0.457554
2026-02-22 0.110674 0.138910 0.174709 0.224188 0.292020 0.383603 0.519879
2026-03-01 0.102645 0.131550 0.169182 0.222754 0.298721 0.405222 0.570766
2026-03-08 0.095307 0.124372 0.163097 0.219677 0.302351 0.422253 0.616206
2026-03-15 0.088257 0.116986 0.156034 0.214401 0.301980 0.432904 0.652478
2026-03-22 0.085598 0.115395 0.156788 0.220223 0.318245 0.469841 0.734736
2026-03-29 0.082709 0.113224 0.156465 0.224273 0.331951 0.503878 0.816283
2026-04-05 0.079077 0.109714 0.153889 0.224584 0.339612 0.528632 0.884589
2026-04-12 0.074074 0.103880 0.147463 0.218364 0.336035 0.534018 0.918087
2026-04-19 0.069099 0.097923 0.140648 0.211285 0.330843 0.536798 0.948486
2026-04-26 0.065232 0.093445 0.135861 0.207176 0.330390 0.548000 0.997141
2026-05-03 0.061480 0.088936 0.130748 0.202134 0.327829 0.555013 1.038213
2026-05-10 0.058375 0.085259 0.126721 0.198596 0.327560 0.566130 1.089262
2026-05-17 0.056860 0.083983 0.126439 0.201369 0.338860 0.600380 1.195432
2026-05-24 0.054632 0.081451 0.123956 0.200112 0.342534 0.619957 1.271726
2026-05-31 0.052282 0.078604 0.120790 0.197413 0.343205 0.633451 1.335867
2026-06-07 0.049731 0.075311 0.116705 0.192785 0.339738 0.637951 1.378876
2026-06-14 0.049132 0.075187 0.117943 0.197893 0.355774 0.685369 1.537140
2026-06-21 0.048282 0.074598 0.118338 0.201444 0.368965 0.728112 1.691671
2026-06-28 0.046926 0.073090 0.117052 0.201717 0.375406 0.756411 1.812570